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Old 20th October 2008, 23:09   #1
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Thumbs up The Weather Channel

Now its on today! BoM's forecasts are now becoming more hopeful for today's possibly supercells.
Quote:
Tuesday until midnight: Wind: N 15/20 knots, increasing to N 20/25 knots during the afternoon, reaching 25/30 knots south of Cape Byron, ahead of a S change 15/20 knots, reaching 20/30 knots south of Cape Byron in the evening. Sea: 1.5 to 2 metres, rising to 2 to 3 metres south of Cape Byron afternoon/evening. Swell: E/SE about 1 metre. Afternoon/evening thunderstorms. Gusts to 45 knots possible.

Forecast for Tuesday
Scattered showers and thunderstorms, possibly severe, developing during the afternoon and evening. Moderate northwest to northeast winds freshening near the coast in the afternoon, turning southerly during the afternoon and evening.

Lismore: Afternoon/evening showers/thunderstorms. Max: 29
Cape Byron: Afternoon/evening showers/thunderstorms. Max: 23
Grafton: Afternoon/evening showers/thunderstorms. Max: 29
Stormcast for us today at 4pm.





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Old 21st October 2008, 03:52   #2
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for LARGE HAILSTONES, FLASH FLOODING and DAMAGING WIND
For people in parts of the
MID NORTH COAST and
NORTHERN TABLELANDS Forecast Districts.

Issued at 1:24 pm Tuesday, 21 October 2008.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Coffs Harbour, Kempsey, Armidale, Woolgoolga, Sawtell and Dorrigo.
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Old 21st October 2008, 05:33   #3
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
for LARGE HAILSTONES, FLASH FLOODING and DAMAGING WIND
For people in the
NORTHERN RIVERS,
NORTHERN TABLELANDS and parts of the
MID NORTH COAST Forecast Districts.

Issued at 3:20 pm Tuesday, 21 October 2008.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce giant hailstones, (hail upto the size of Golf Balls), very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Coffs Harbour, Armidale, Tenterfield, , Guyra, Casino, Kyogle, Yamba, Maclean, Woolgoolga, Sawtell and Dorrigo.

Golf Ball sized hail was reported from Woolgoolga just after 3pm, and large hail from near Crescent Head just after 2pm.

Cells firing up locally now! Nasty pulsie updrafts with crisp on tops in west! Better starting up chasing very soon!
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Old 21st October 2008, 09:26   #4
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Golf ball sized Hail! Ha I wish we would have a huge hail sotrm.
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Old 21st October 2008, 10:33   #5
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Today was one of my best storms i ever experienced. I have seen two rotating supercells that came past including a large RFB cloud and great souther'ly change roll cloud.

Today started out very warm and humid with strong northeaster'ly seabreezes. The conditions maxed out 27.5/18.3 75%. This is certainly great for deep instability. First went to the river watched the storms goes by after 5pm with my fellow mate Dylan. We had great time experiencing rotating clouds and nice mammatus structure.

However we watched the first storm comes by across the river with nasty looking rotating RFB. Has scored some nice lightning bolts! The souther'ly change has came with this first supercell. Certainly reported hail and damaging winds at Wardell and Woodburn areas.



























We missed the first part by about 500metres of the core however at the time we got caught in souther'ly change. It was an hour earlier than expected. So eventually we had another look at the radar and looked in western skies, another STORM!

Then we head back to river again and watched the storm growing and became more intense. And we looked up in sky, SO LOW CLOSE MAMMATUS! I never seen that so close ever in my life at all. It was the best. However it died out as the convergence develops, it started rain and we rushed back home.

Only we had about 65km/hr souther'ly winds is max gust with total rainfall of 5.8mm. Thats pretty much for our area today. Lismore and Byron Bay scored the best of the day with hail, damaging wind gusts and a bit flash flooding.
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